Expert casts doubt on Grayling's 2021 vision for driverless cars

 

A leading expert in autonomous vehicles has described Chris Grayling’s target of seeing self-driving cars on British roads by 2021 as ‘very, very optimistic’ and suggested that it might take at least another decade.

Last week, the transport secretary said he expects the first self-driving cars to reach the market and to be used on UK roads by 2021, adding that ‘the Government is already taking steps to make this happen and consulting with industry partners for their views’.

”Local
Transport secretary Chris Grayling

However, at an industry event David Oliver, global expert, government and enforcement at PA Consulting, described this as a ‘classically optimistic government position’. He said: ‘I think 2021 is definitely a very, very optimistic viewpoint.’

Mr Oliver added: ‘It’s a massively complicated system with loads and loads of different players, who have all got to come together to make this system work, for autonomous vehicles to be a success. That interconnectedness and that detail is really the key thing.’

PA Consulting has published research Autonomous Vehicle: What are the roadblocks?, based on the views of a panel of experts. The report assesses that: ‘No country is likely to have fully driverless cars until 2030.’

It states: ‘Overall, we estimate driverless cars are more than 10 years away from regular use on UK roads. But our panel’s estimates ranged from just three years to 20 years.’

The research assesses progress on issues such as technology, regulation and law, and insurance. It states: ‘Technology is among the capabilities furthest from being able to support autonomous journeys. On average, our experts say its 13 years away. The most pessimistic outlook says it’s as long as 30 years off.’

Mr Oliver said: ‘We’ve gone through quite a robust process to come up with this data really that’s why we are confident that next year or the year after isn’t the answer but probably something more like 10 years is.’

Register now for full access


Register just once to get unrestricted, real-time coverage of the issues and challenges facing UK transport and highways engineers.

Full website content includes the latest news, exclusive commentary from leading industry figures and detailed topical analysis of the highways, transportation, environment and place-shaping sectors. Use the link below to register your details for full, free access.

Already a registered? Login

 
comments powered by Disqus
 
 
highways jobs

Highways Asset & Maintenance Manager

Brighton & Hove City Council
£42,806 - £46,326
Looking to recruit a new Highways Asset and Maintenance Manager Brighton, East Sussex
Recuriter: Brighton & Hove City Council

Senior Development Engineer

Bristol City Council
£27,358 - £33,136
Bristol is an exciting, and culturally thriving Regional Capital City of Bristol
Recuriter: Bristol City Council

Executive Director Place & Economy

Peterborough City & Cambridgeshire County Councils
Competitive salary
The opportunity to combine major services across a city and a county to contribute to the delivery of future growth and Infrastructure Cambridgeshire
Recuriter: Peterborough City & Cambridgeshire County Councils

Head of Culture & Place

The Royal Borough of Kensington & Chelsea Council
up to £78,800 plus PRP
This could not be a more important time to join Kensington and Chelsea Kensington and Chelsea, London (Greater)
Recuriter: The Royal Borough of Kensington & Chelsea Council

Director for Cleaner, Greener & Cultural Services

The Royal Borough of Kensington & Chelsea Council
up to £103,500 plus PRP
This could not be a more important time to join Kensington and Chelsea Kensington and Chelsea, London (Greater)
Recuriter: The Royal Borough of Kensington & Chelsea Council

Director for Public Protection

The Royal Borough of Kensington & Chelsea Council
up to £103,500 plus PRP
This could not be a more important time to join Kensington and Chelsea Kensington and Chelsea, London (Greater)
Recuriter: The Royal Borough of Kensington & Chelsea Council

Chief Executive

Luton Borough Council
Luton Borough Council
Recuriter: Luton Borough Council

Head of Democratic Services

Ealing London Borough Council
£58,650.00 - £61,737.00
Ealing is an exciting place to live and work, and local democracy is at the heart of its success. Ealing, London (Greater)
Recuriter: Ealing London Borough Council

Director of Development and Environment

North Somerset Council
circa £125,000 p.a.
We are looking for an experienced and enthusiastic individual to maintain momentum on delivery of our regeneration and placemaking aspirations Somerset
Recuriter: North Somerset Council

Development Officer/Senior Development Officer

Solihull Metropolitan Borough Council
£28,221 - £35,229 / £33,136 - £41,846
Seeking an individual to lead on all aspects of Highways advice to a busy Development Management team Solihull, West Midlands
Recuriter: Solihull Metropolitan Borough Council

Highways Asset & Maintenance Manager

Brighton & Hove City Council
£42,806 - £46,326
Looking to recruit a new Highways Asset and Maintenance Manager Brighton, East Sussex
Recuriter: Brighton & Hove City Council

Commercial Manager

Leicester City Council
£41,846 - £44,697
Seeking for a Comercial Manager to work for the Leicester City Council. Leicester, Leicestershire
Recuriter: Leicester City Council

Senior Highways Development Engineer

Leeds City Council
£37,107 - £39,961
Seeking to appoint an experienced highways engineer or transport planner. Leeds, West Yorkshire
Recuriter: Leeds City Council

Trainee Deputy Editor of Bridge Design & Engineering

Bridge Design & Engineering
£24,000-26,000
Bd&e is looking for a structural or civil engineering graduate with a passion for bridges. Dorset
Recuriter: Bridge Design & Engineering

Strategic Transport Project Development Officer

Hull City Council
£36.153 - £39.002
Would you like to work in the successful UK City of Culture? Kingston upon Hull, East Riding of Yorkshire
Recuriter: Hull City Council

Project Lead

Hull City Council
£45.181 - £48.563
Would you like to work in the successful UK City of Culture? Kingston upon Hull, East Riding of Yorkshire
Recuriter: Hull City Council

Highway Development Control Officer

Hull City Council
£31.401 - £34.106
Would you like to work in the successful UK City of Culture? Kingston upon Hull, East Riding of Yorkshire
Recuriter: Hull City Council

Highway / Traffic Development / Design Technician - Three posts

Hull City Council
£28221 - £30756
Would you like to work in the successful UK City of Culture? Kingston upon Hull, East Riding of Yorkshire
Recuriter: Hull City Council

Assistant Director - Economy & Regeneration

Babergh & Mid Suffolk
Up to £72k
Quality of work, quality of life, along with a generous relocation package and flexible working patterns. Ipswich, Suffolk
Recuriter: Babergh & Mid Suffolk

Assistant Director - Environment & Commercial Services

Babergh & Mid Suffolk
Up to £72k
Quality of work, quality of life, along with a generous relocation package and flexible working patterns Ipswich, Suffolk
Recuriter: Babergh & Mid Suffolk

Chief Executive

Barnsley Metropolitan Borough Council
c£160,000
Barnsley is a Council with ambition, flair and imagination Barnsley, South Yorkshire
Recuriter: Barnsley Metropolitan Borough Council